Tiafoe 1.78, Sela 2.24
This will be their first meeting.
Sela has slightly better indoor results in last 12 months. Both players have only played 5 indoor matches in the last year though. Sela won 3 and Tiafoe won 2. Sela has a lot more experience on indoor courts. He beat Basilashvili in straight sets in the last round.
Tiafoe needed 3 sets to beat 846 ranked Sebastian Korda in the last round. He didn’t serve that badly but was broken 3 times. Sela can be a deceptively awkward opponent and as this is the first time Tiafoe has faced him he may struggle.
Certainly some value on Sela as underdog. Lay Tiafoe below 1.60 and look to remove or reduce liability around 2.20.
Update: Tiafoe won the opening set and Sela fought back to take the second. However I suspect Sela had some sort of injury as Tiafoe took the deciding set 6-0.
Tiafoe won 6-4, 3-6, 6-0