Bertens 1.12, Lepchenko 1.85
Lepchenko leads their previous matches 3-1. The last time they met was on a hard court in Wuhan, China last month. Lepchenko won in straight sets. She won all 3 of their hard court matches. Bertens’ win was on clay last season in Rome.
Overall results this year slightly favour Lepchenko. Recent form also favours her with 7 wins from 10. Bertens won 3 from her last 10.
Lepchenko has played well in her last 2 tournaments. Both were on hard courts. She reached the third round in Wuhan as a qualifier and as well as beating Bertens she also
took out Madison Keys in the main draw. Last week in Beijing she again made it through the qualifying rounds. She beat Tsurenko in 3 sets in the main draw and kept her 2 sets with Kvitova tight.
Bertens has struggled a little recently. Outdoor hardcourts are not her best surface and she has just 1 win in her last 5 tournaments. her only main draw win in Linz in 4 visits was in 2012.
Neither has played indoors much in the last 12 months but the results on this surface also favour Lepchenko. Back her above 2.10
Update: Lepchenko won 6-3, 7-6. Our target price was hit.