Tsurenko 2.48, Pavlyuchenkova 1.66
Pavlyuchenkova leads their previous matches 3-1. They last met in May 2016 on the clay in Madrid. Pavlyuchenkova won in 2 sets. They are 1-1 on hard courts with both matches going to 3 sets.
Pavlyuchenkova has better overall results this year. She has won 63% of her matches and 4 of her last 10. Tsurenko won 51% of her matches in 2017 with 19 wins from 37 matches. She also won 4 of her last 10. On hard courts Pavlyuchenkova’s results and stats are also a little better with 66% of matches being won compared to 58% for Tsurenko.
Tsurenko has shown some decent form recently and reached the quarter finals in Stanford, USA 2 weeks ago. She reached the second round last year in Cincinnati.
Some value on Tsurenko to take a set though I favour Pavlyuchenkova to win. Back Pavlyuchenkova if she gets broken
Update: Pav came back twice from being broken in the 1st set and then took the set. The 3 sets can also be ticked off but Tsurenko took the deciding set.