Not a good day for the seeds in Auckland last night. Some excellent trading opportunities though with several of the favourites staging a rally before crumbling.
I won’t be trading the night matches for obvious reasons but should be in the members chat room for the daytime games.
Flipkens struggled on serve in her win over Puig last night. She kept fighting though and the win should give her confidence a much needed boost.
Pliskova had a solid win over Ormachea. She won her only previous meeting with Flipkens but that was almost 2 years ago.
Flipkens will probably continue to have problems on serve especially in the early games and I think we will get a price of at least 1.80 to back her.
Update: Flipkens won 6-4, 6-3.
In Brisbane we should get a decent match between Matosevic and Querrey. Both will be looking to have a better season than 2013. Querrey starts as slight favourite at 1.66 but I am slightly favouring Matosevic.
The Aussie finally won a main draw match in his home country when he beat Benneteau in the first round.
They played twice in 2013 and both went to 3 sets with all the sets being close. They won one match each.
I will look for Querrey to drop below 1.40 before laying him.
Update: Querrey took the first set. Matosevic won 5-7, 7-6, 6-4.
Also in Brisbane Cilic starts as slight underdog against Dimitrov. Cilic made a decent return to the tour after his ban for testing positive for a banned substance.
Dimitrov had his best ever season in 2013 and managed to take his first title. If Cilic serves well this should be a match with close sets. Dimitrov reached the final last year losing to Andy Murray.
Cilic could well be a little match rusty but I think he will trade a lot lower.
Update: Cilic won 7-5, 7-5.
In Chennai you would think Youzhny will have too much for Sela. They have played 3 times and Youzhny won the last two but they haven’t met since 2010. Both Youzhny’s wins were in grand slams and were won in 4 sets.
Youzhny is another player who had a great 2013 season. He didn’t play his best tennis in January and his best performances came in the latter half of 2013.
You would be brave to back him at his SP of 1.30 but if he goes an early break behind he can be backed with reasonable confidence.
Update: Youzhny retired after 4 games of the first set.