10th April 2015

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http://blog.tradesharktennis.com/?p=16553

 

ATP Grand Prix Hassan, 15:45 – Haider Maurer v Dzumhur

Haider Maurer leads the head to heads 2-1. The most recent was in 2014 on.clay. Dzumhur won in 2 sets.

The season stats favour Dzumhur. He came through the last round when Granollers retired at 0-3 in the first set. He has a significantly better record against common opponents.

It isn’t easy to pick a winner in this one. I think Haider Maurer will trade higher. He should win but on a pure value basis Dzum is the pick.

 

 

 

ATP US Mens Claycourt Championships, 17:30 – Giraldo v Sock

Giraldo leads the head to heads 2-0. The most recent meeting was in  2013 on a hard court. He won in 2 sets.

The season stats favour Giraldo on everything except service holds. Tipsareic served pretty well against him but the Colombian held strong. He was broken just once.

Sock took 2 of his 7 break points and saved both of the break points he faced on his own serve. That was the difference. Bautista Agut actually had better stats on serve in terms of the percentage of points won on both first and second serves.

Sock served well in Miami but was then poor in his third match.

The value is on Giraldo for me in what will be a tight serve dominated match. Backing the server also looks a good option. Expect at least 1 tie break.

 

 

 

WTA Family Circle Cup, 19:30 – Errani v Hradecka

Errani leads the head to heads 2-1. The most recent was in 2015 on a hard court. Errani won in 2 sets.

Errani faced 15 break points in her first match and 17 yesterday. She was broken 12 times across the 2 matches. Her price today is a little more realistic but she is still worth a lay below 1.30 .

Hradecka has had a couple of good wins this week and in particular over Garcia in the last round. If she can keep serving well she has a great chance in this one.

3 sets likely.

 

 

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