10th March 2014

There were a few surprises yesterday.  Berdych, Tsonga and Kohlschreiber all got the boot. Thiem beat Simon in straight sets. Cirstea, Kerber and Lisicki all went out the night before. Stepanek took the opening set 6-2 over Nadal.

Who will be the big names leaving the tournament tonight?

 

18:00Wozniack knocked out Lisicki in the previous round. She has played Pavlyuchenkova once before which was in 2009. At that time Wozniack was the higher ranked player. Pavlyuchenkova won in 2 tight sets.

Pavlyuchenkova did just enough in the last round to beat Garcia. She didn’t serve well with a first serve percentage of just 46% and 6 double faults.

I missed the Wozniack / Lisicki match but looking at the stats it was a bit of a car crash. Wozniack faced 15 break points and also hit 7 double faults.  They shared 15 breaks of serve in the 3 sets.

Unless Wozniack makes huge improvements from the service line Pavlyuchenkova should be able to scrape through another round.

Pav’s 1.35 SP isn’t at all tempting and I will wait for her to go a break behind before backing.

 

19:30Pennetta v Stosur is a  tough one to call.

Surprisingly Pennetta leads the head to heads 5-0. Their only recent match was in December’s Hopman Cup which is an exhibition event and I take results from it with a pinch of salt.

Stosur served very well against Schiavone and didn’t face a  single break point. Pennetta needed 3 sets to get past Townsend in the last round. She served reasonably well and was only broken twice. Her main problem was taking the break chances that she created. She forced 12 break  points but converted just 4 of them.

I think we see 3 sets in this one and will be laying the first set winner as long as both players are competitive.

 

20:00Monfils and Fognini should give us some entertainment.

Head to heads are 2-2. Their last 3 matches were on clay. They played twice last season and shared the wins.

Fognini is capable of taking the win on hard courts but if Monfils brings his A game he will win this one.

We should see a price nearer 1.80 in the opening set and that is my entry point.

Ryan Harrison took Fognini to 3 sets in the last round. Harrison isn’t even close to Monfils’ level

 

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