12th January 2015

What a bizarre night we had last night. A lot more upsets and retirements than average. Are players already saving their bodies for the Australian Open? Perhaps those who have brought niggling injuries from pre season training want to give themselves every chance of reaching Melbourne.

 

I’m sure I’m not the only person who is pleased to see Del Potro back on the tour. He takes on Stakhovsky in Sydney and is a very healthy evens which has drifted in the last few hours. Go carefully if you get involved. He has been out for a long time and is bound to be rusty. Its only Stakhovsky though 😉

 

 

WTA Hobart International, 01:30 – Watson v Stephens

Watson had an excellent win yesterday. Surprisingly she has a 3-0 lead in her head to heads with Stephens.

Neither player has a winning record on hard courts over the last 6 months. Stephens won 6 from 12 and Watson 8 from 17.

Stephens lost to Davis  last week as a 1.30 favourite. Today she starts at  1.58 .

They haven’t played since 2012 and Stephens has improved her game since then. She is still more than capable of putting in a poor performance and at this stage of the season she is vulnerable.

We should see a higher price on the American and I expect a few breaks of serve. Unless she is saving herself for the Australian Open she should just have enough to get her first win over Heather.

Lay Stephens below 1.35 and switch the profit to her if she is broken early.

 

 

ATP Apia International, Sydney, 04:30 – Chardy v Querrey

Querrey leads the head to heads 3-1. He won their only 2014 meeting on grass in 3 tie break sets. They haven’t played on a hard court since 2010 and their two matches that season were shared.

Their hard court record over the last 12 months is quite similar but when we compare their stats against common opponents it is Chardy who comes out slightly on top.

Chardy came close to beating Dimitrov last week losing in a third set tie break. He ended last season pretty well.

Querrey also ended the season well although his successes were mainly on the Challenger tour. His only match this year was a straight sets loss to Tomic in Brisbane.

Querrey will almost certainly serve well but has yet to win a match in Sydney in 4 attempts.

Chardy starts at 1.92 and I think based on his performances last week he has the edge today.  There won’t be many breaks in this one and we’re likely to have a tie break or 2.

 

 

WTA Hobart  International, 08:00 – Giorgi v Kanepi

Giorgi struggled in her last match with Storm Sanders. She won in a third set tie break but hit a massive 23 double faults. That’s almost a full set’s worth of free points!

Kanepi has started the season really well. She reached the quarter finals last week and narrowly lost to Ivanovic in 3 sets. She made short work of Puig in the first round this week winning in straight sets.

Kanepi served well last week and if she can continue that this week she has an excellent chance of getting the win. She starts at 1.52 and i will put part stake on her from the start and will add the rest if she is broken early.

 

 

 

 

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