13th January 2015

WTA Hobart International, 03:00 – Dellacqua v Knapp

They have played once before but it was back in 2008. Dellacqua won in 3 sets at the Australian Open.

Dellacqua reached the 4th round at the Australian Open last year and has already gone further in this tournament than she did in 2014. She may well have one eye on next week.

Dellacqua has a better hard court record over the last 12 months but if we narrow the search to the last 6 months it is Knapp who comes out on top.

Knapp lost to Bacsinszky last week but served reasonably well. She should be able to push Dellacqua close.

I think Dellacqua will want a straight sets win and if she were to lose the opening set she may not be inclined to bust a gut to come back.

We need to see how interested she is in the early games.If she seems to be going through the motions I’ll look to lay below 1.50 .

 

(From yesterday)

WTA Hobart  International, 08:00 – Giorgi v Kanepi

Giorgi struggled in her last match with Storm Sanders. She won in a third set tie break but hit a massive 23 double faults. That’s almost a full set’s worth of free points!

Kanepi has started the season really well. She reached the quarter finals last week and narrowly lost to Ivanovic in 3 sets. She made short work of Puig in the first round this week winning in straight sets.

Kanepi served well last week and if she can continue that this week she has an excellent chance of getting the win. She starts at 1.52 and i will put part stake on her from the start and will add the rest if she is broken early.

 

 

Rain has delayed the Hobart matches. It is 2am as I write this and it has been a long night so far! A nice easy profit backing Mannarino against an ill Bautista Agut who retired having been broken in the third game of the second set.

 

ATP Apia International, Sydney, 04:30 – Fognini v Del Potro

Del Potro had a comfortable first match back after injury beating Stakhovsky in straight sets.

He hasn’t played Fognini since 2007 and they have never played on a hard court.

Fognini has won just 1 match in his last 10 so it is understandable that Del Potro is a strong favourite although 1.41 is a little short for a player with so little recent court time. Del Potro is one of those players who is respected by most other professionals and I doubt we will see any of the usual Fognini behaviour.

I think it is worth waiting for a better price on Del Potro in the early games.

 

 

WTA Apia International, Sydney, 09:00 – Muguruza v Kerber

They have played twice before with each match being on a hard court. Kerber won both in straight sets. She hasn’t been playing her best tennis so far in 2015 though. She did reach the quarter finals last week but has needed 3 sets in both her matches in this tournament having started each match as strong market favourite.

Muguruza beat Errani in the first round who has been struggling with an injury. In the second round she beat Radwanska who has been performing well.

Muguruza starts as 1.84 favourite. Kerber will fight, at least in the first set and won’t make things easy for Muguruza. I think we will see Kerber trade a fair bit lower than her SP but have to go with Muguruza to get the win in 3 sets.

 

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