14 Feb 2014

The markets aren’t giving us much today, at least not pre match.

 

Berdych and Janowicz have gone to 3 sets in each of their two previous matches. When you have 2 big servers the matches can be decided by just a handful of points. Berdych won both matches and each time Janowicz won his set in a tie break.

Berdych at 1.39 would be a nervy back. These aren’t my favourite type of match as it is pretty much a straight bet. I will monitor it to see if I can get higher on Berdych. History suggests he has more chance of breaking than of being broken.

 

Kvitova just loves her 3 set matches. Her last 3 have gone the distance. For large sections of both her matches this week she has looked poor but she has played a lot of the big points well.

Jankovic has continued her form from last season. She reached the 4th round in Melbourne and hasn’t been tested at all in her first 2 matches this week.

I won’t be at all surprised if this is another 3 setter. Two of their three previous matches went to a deciding set.

I am favouring Jankovic to take the match but I won’t be backing her below evens. She starts around 1.70 .

 

Murray was taken to 3 sets yesterday by Thiem who had knocked out Nieminen in the previous round. Murray won’t have it any easier today as he meets Cilic.

Cilic won the title in Zagreb last week and has beaten Tsonga and Rosol so far in Rotterdam.

Murray leads the head to heads 10-1 but they usually have tight sets. Both are making a comeback to the tour for differing reasons. Cilic has a new coach and we are seeing the immediate improvements that this can make. Whether those improvements will continue remains to be seen but here and now Cilic is tough to beat.

Murray starts at 1.50 but I would be looking to lay him below 1.30 in the early games.

 

Kohlschreiber is serving well at the moment and came through against Gasquet in straight sets. 1.70 on him looks tempting at first glance.

His opponent though is, if anything, serving even better.  Sijsling was handed a Wild Card entry to his home tournament. He has never been beyond the second round before this season (Kohlschreiber had a quarter final in 2007 but also hasn’t been further than round 2 since).

Sijsling has had 2 below par opponents so far in Youzhny and Berrer but has dealt with them clinically. It has given him a chance to really get his serve going so this will be a very tight encounter.

Sijsling has won both their previous matches. This one looks like a bit of a coin toss so slight value is on Sijsling. I’d be very surprised if there isn’t a tie break.

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