16th July 2014

ATP Hamburg, 11:30Dolgopolov is favourite against Janowicz at 1.55 .

This is his first match since Wimbledon where he reached the third round and narrowly lost out in 5 sets to Dimitrov.

Janowicz retired in Sweden last week but came back strongly in the first round this week with a straight sets win over Ramos.

They have played just once before which was in January this year on a hard court and Dolgopolov won easily in straight sets.

I think 1.55 is a little low but I can understand why it has settled at this level. My one concern is how quickly Dolgopolov gets his timing right on the hard courts. i think we may see a higher price in the first few games I will stay out for a couple of games. If Janowicz is serving well then we will see a higher entry on Dolgopolov.

 

WTA Istanbul Cup, 13:00Koukalova starts at 1.57 against Mladenovic. The French player served quite well in her first round match against Mayr Achleitner and should give Koukalova a run for her money.

Koukalova is probably more at home on hard courts than any other surface. Her record is stronger than today’s opponent’s but the weak link in her game can be her serve. I think we will get a higher entry on her in the early part of the match. Despite serving well over all yesterday Mladenovic gave up quite a few break chances and I think Koukalova is better equipped to take advantage.

 

Well Koukalova hasn’t performed as expected! So many chances but she just can’t take them.

 

I have been caught up in the trading this afternoon but will be adding previews of some of this evening’s matches.

 

ATP Bogota, 17:00Ebden has been unlucky this season with injury and illness. Since he came back from his thigh strain at the beginning of June he has only won one match although he has faced some tough opposition such as Raonic and Bautista Agut.

Today he faces Britain’s James Ward who has come through the qualifying rounds. Ward wasn’t able to take advantage of his wild card entries to the grass tournaments with just a single win from 4 matches. His best results this year have been in Challenger clay events.

They have played just once before which was on a hard court last October. Ebden won a bizarre match 6-0, 5-7, 6-0.

Ebden starts at  1.71 which is about right. I’d prefer a higher price but won’t be surprised if we don’t get it.

Part stake on Ebden at the start and I’ll add to it if he goes above evens early.

 

ATP Bogota, 19:00 – Third seed Pospisil starts at 1.54 against Kuznetsov.

They have played before but it was in 2008. Kuznetsov won but Pospisil was ranked outside the top 1000 back then. He is now ranked 33rd and has been as high as 25th.

Neither of them has been in the best form but including Challengers Kuznetsov has better numbers during the last 3 months.  Pospisil had a decent grass season which included a quarter final in the Netherlands.

Kuznetsov’s win in the first round over Mannarino was a good one and I expect him to make a faster start. I will be laying Pospisil.

 

 

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