16th March 2015

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WTA BNP Paribas Open, 18:00 – Cornet v Tsurenko

They have never met. The 3 month stats favour Tsurenko.

Cornet reached 4th round last year. It hasn’t been an outstanding season for Cornet so far. She served well in the last round but there were  too many double faults (10).

Tsurenko has been unfortunate to meet Bacsinszky twice this season. She has produced some respectable performances.  She is playing well and has already won 4 matches to reach this stage. She has won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Three sets look likely.  Tough to call the winner but for me  Cornet has the edge based on their last matches. Tsurenko struggled on her second serve.

The prices are about right. For extra value wait for Cornet to go above evens before backing.

 

 

 

WTA BNP Paribas Open, 21:15 – Keys v Jankovic

Head to heads  are 1-1. Their most recent meeting ended in a  Keys win in  2014. It was on grass and she won in  2 sets. Jankovic won on a hard court in 2013 in 2 sets.

The 3 month stats are close but Keys has a much better Win/Loss record. Keys played well in her first match back after injury. Jankovic had a rare win last week. Her second serve was weak and she hit 7 double faults. If her 2nd serve is weak today I expect Keys to punish it.

Keys should take this but with so little tennis recently her price should be a bit higher. Wait for a better price on Keys.

 

 

 

WTA BNP Paribas Open, 00:15 – Lisicki v Errani

Lisicki leads the head to heads  2-1. She won both their 2014 matches on hard courts. Erranis win was on clay 2013.

It was a much overdue stronger performance from Lisicki in the last round.  Vinci still had 16 break points but Lisicki saved 10 of them.

Errani reached the semi finals last week losing in a third set tie break to Bacsinszky. She served well in last round but needed 3 sets to beat Zhu. She switched off after winning the opening set 6-0.

If Lisicki’s ground strokes are under control she will get lots of chances on Errani’s second serve. Looks like a 3 setter and I give the edge to Lisicki.

Errani starts around 1.76

 

 

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