19 Oct 2013 – A full day’s tennis on a Saturday!

It’s not often we have 5 tournaments on at the same time and even better that they are all having Sunday finals so we get a full day’s tennis today.

 

First up in Moscow is Stosur v Kuznetsova.

Head to heads are 3-3 but Stosur has won both their 2013 meetings and won them in straight sets.

She has played some excellent tennis this week. Ivanovic pushed her hard in the opening set yesterday but in the end Stosur was the more consistent. Her first serve percentage was high at 69% and she won 77% of point on that first delivery. Her second serve was too shabby either at 55% of points won.
Kuznetsova’s serve was working similarly well in the first set against Vinci but was less effective in the second. Fortunately for her Vinci had a nightmare from the line with a first serve percentage of 48% and she won just 33% of points on her second serve.

How much effect home advantage will help Kuznetsova I’m not sure. It will probably lift he chances a little which means Stosur’s starting price of 1.62 is on the low side.

For Kuznetsova to have  a chance she needs to take the opening set. Stosur has won 46 of her last 50 matches where she won the first set. Kuznetsova herself has won 41 of her last 50 when taking the first set so a good start is key.

I have to go with Stosur and will look to back her if she goes behind early.

 

Pavlyuchenkova was far too strong for Hantuchova yesterday and handed her a bagel in the opening set. Pav has lost to Halep in both their previous matches but in their meeting in September Pavlyuchenkova had to retire in the third set having played the final in Seoul a couple of days before. Despite that she came very close to taking the match in 2 sets.

Pav hasn’t done well at this tournament in the past but she must fancy her chances here.

Halep has had an easy week so far. Rybarikova was ill and retired after the first set and Kleybanova put up very little resistance yesterday and won just 2 games.

Stats for the last 3 months are quite similar with Pavlyuchenkova  being stronger from the line and Halep returning better.

3 sets are a real possibility  and Halep has the edge for me.

 

Ferrer v Gulbis and Kukushkin v Sepp have been covered for Shark Tips subscribers.

 

Haas should be able to deal with Rosol but the German has made heavy work of his matches s far. In his straight sets wins there were 2 tie breaks and a 7-5 set. Mecir and Stepanek both had set points.

Haas starts at 1.25 which has to be to be too low. There is also he issue of his back problem that forced him to pull out of his 3rd round match in Shanghai.

I’ll wait for a higher price.

 

Beck had a real battle with Piter yesterday. By the end they were trying to out-do each other with their primal screams as much as their passing shots.  Beck saved match points to win in a 3rd set tie break.

Voegele had another 3 setter with Sloane Stephens and once again came out on top. She has needed 3 sets in each round so far.

Even though Beck has played 1 less set this week you have to feel that her brutal match with Piter will have drained her emotionally. If a mud pit had been available I can’t help thinking they’d have bee in there.

I am going for Voegele in this one but will wit for her to go a break down before backing her. Her serve has been stronger during the last 3 months and her numbers against common opponents are better.

 

 

 

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