19th May 2014

With just 1 week until the French Open be careful of players who may be carrying injuries ( which is most of them) with little to play for this week who may not give 100% for fear of missing out on the Grand Slam.

 

WTA Strasbourg, 10:00Vesnina starts as favourite against Dellacqua but I don’t expect her to have everything her own way.

They have played just once before but that was in 2012 and on a hard court. Vesnina won in 2 tight sets.

Vesnina reached the semi final in Portugal but then lost out to Schiavone and Stosur in Madrid and Rome. Dellacqua reached the second round in Rome as a qualifier in her only clay court event so far this season. She hasn’t played a lot of tennis in 2014 but reached the 4th round in Melbourne and the quarter finals in Indian Wells as a qualifier.

Vesnina is 1.49 at the start and I expect her to trade a fair bit higher. I will look to lay her when a break ahead.

 

WTA Strasbourg,  14:00Vania King is more of a hard court player although she did reach the semi final in Bogota last month. That was the only event that she has progressed beyond the second round since  the opening tournament of the season in Shenzhen where she also reached the semis.

Ormaechea isn’t breaking any records this season either. Except for her quarter final on the Rio clay she also hasn’t been beyond the second round in any other event.

King leads the head to heads 3-1 but Ormachea won their only previous meeting on clay. I expect this to be a very messy match with lots of breaks so I am not too bothered about who wins in the end although I think Ormaechea will edge it.

 

ATP Dusseldorf, 17:00 – You’ve got to love Dustin Brown. he’s not the greatest player in the world but on his day can give all but the best opponents some problems.

Lu isn’t known for his ability on clay. He did reach the second round of the French Open last season but his first round opponent, Bolelli retired in the third set and then Lu himself withdrew before his second round match with Kohlschreiber. Lu also pulled out of a challenger event last week due to a hamstring injury. The previous week he did make the semi final of a clay Challenger event but didn’t meet anyone of any ability before being beaten by Muller.

Brown has lost 4 of his last 5 in Germany so the German crowd don’t seem to help him too much. He has a chance if Lu is protecting that hamstring and I think that is why he is the market favourite at 1.77.

Lu is the better clay court player based on more recent performances but I have a feeling he won’t finish this match. I will lay Lu if he goes a break ahead.

 

 

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