21st Sep 2014

WTA Wuhan Open, 08:00 – V Williams v Garcia

Garcia hasn’t been in the best form since her third round at Wimbledon. Things don’t get any easier for her today as she takes on Venus.

Williams’ last tournament was Quebec where she reached the final. The last time she reached a final which was in August in Montreal she lost her next match. This time it’s different as she has had a week’s rest since Quebec.

Williams starts at 1.27 but Garcia will find her form sometime soon. I won’t be backing at that price but if Williams has one of her slow starts and goes an early break of serve behind I will back her.

 

 

WTA Wuhan Open, 10:00 – Petkovic v Vekic

This is Petkovic’s first match since her third round finish at the US Open.

Vekic only has 3 main draw wins since June when she beat Vinci at Wimbledon. She has won 2 qualifying matches in this tournament with both being against higher ranked opponents.

Petkovic starts at 1.34 and as she hasn’t played since the US Open we can expect her to take a few games to find her timing. Vekic is already used to the courts and hopefully will take an early lead.

It would be a surprise if Vekic is able to win the match. We have a choice of laying Petkovic or waiting for a better price to back her. In this case I think I will wait for either Petkovic to go below 1.25 and then lay her or for her to go a break of serve behind so I can back her. Obviously any lay is for a trade and I would switch to Petkovic  if she is broken.

 

 

ATP Moselle (Metz), 14:00 – Goffin v Sousa

Sousa has a good record in ATP 250 events but I didn’t expect him to make the final. In the quarter final he really should have lost to Mathieu who led 5-2 in the third set and served for the match at 5-3. He was broken. Sousa served at 5-6 and went 0-40. He saved 4 match points in that game before taking the match in a tie break. I thought Monfils would beat him in the semi final but a 7-6, 6-2 win for Sousa proved me wrong. Monfils won just 1 of the 9 break points he had.

Goffin looked to be going out of the tournament when he made a slow start against Tsonga. However he held on for a tie break in the second set which he won and pushed on to take a tight deciding set. He had a fairly comfortable win over Struff in the semi final but faced 6 break points, saving 5 of them.

They have played once on a hard court which was at this season’s US Open and Goffin won in straight sets.

Goffin starts at 1.28 but as Sousa’s form seems to be peaking at just the right time I will be laying that. This should be close but I am favouring Goffin to win. Despite his straight sets win at the US Open as this is a final I feel 1.45 to 1.50 would be a fairer price.

 

 

 

    Trading Guide

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