24th July 2014

WTA Baku Cup, 13:00 – I thought Soler Espinosa may not be too interested in this tournament after her poor performance in the semi final last week. She had a tough week having to come back from a poor start each time. However in the first round she beat qualifier Kovinic in straight sets.

Svitolina has put in some very inconsistent results recently but I’d expect her to gain confidence now we are back on the hard courts.

Svitolina is defending champion and I have to favour her on hard courts. I think she starts too low though and 1.60 to 1.70 would be a more realistic price given the respective form of the players.

I will wait for a higher entry.

 

ATP Swiss Open, 14:00Troicki didn’t take long to get back into the swing of things. Having served a 12 month ban his first match  wasn’t an easy one on paper against  Thiem but he came through it in straight sets.

Golubev would appear to offer less of a challenge than Thiem but I am not sure we have seen enough from Troicki to have him as a 1.65 favourite. If I can get on him nearer evens it’s worth backing him but with reduced stakes.

 

ATP Croatia Open, 19:00Fognini lost in the final last year to Robredo having won the two previous tournaments. Does he care about defending points? He has his very own self destruct button that he has been frantically pressing this season and is only just in the top 20 now.

Montanes hasn’t been in the best form since his semi final in Nice although injury has been one of his problems and he retired from the French Open. In the first round this week he beat Zverev who must have been physically and mentally drained from his exploits last week.

Montanes leads the head to heads 3-2 although they haven’t played since 2011 and a lot’s happened since then.

Fognini starts at 1.46 but he can start slowly even when playing well. Montanes’ serve can keep him in the set so a lay of Fognini around 1.30 isn’t a bad place to start. Then it is all down to how seriously Fognini is playing. Obviously if he wants it then he wins.

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