24th July 2015

WTA Nurnberger Gastein Ladies, 11:45 – Kovinic v Stosur

Stosur won their only previous meeting. That was earlier this season on grass. She won in 2 sets.

It was another good performance from Kovinic in the last round. She was broken just once and broke her opponent 5 times.

Stosur lost just 1 game to Koukalova. Koukalova didn’t deserve to be there anyway. She was just there due to Friedsam retiring when a set and 4-0 up.

I think we will see a higher price on Stosur. Kovinic is returning well and Stosur was taken to 3 sets in her first round match by Sevastova.

Back Stosur when she is a break behind.

 

 

 

WTA Nurnberger Gastein Ladies, 13:15 – Errani  v Kasatkina

Errani came so close to going out of the tournament yesterday. She lost the opening set and Zanevska served for the match in set 2. She had a match point but Errani saved it and broke serve. The third set was also very close. Errani won just 2 of 16 points on her 2nd serve.

Kasatkina was a set and a break down to Goerges in her last match but she kept fighting and got the reward.

I think Errani’s serve could get a lot of pressure again today and I fancy Kasatkina to be able to push her close.

Lay Errani if she breaks early. Back Errani if she loses the first set.

 

 

 

ATP Vegeta Croatia Open, 18:00 – Thiem v Haider Maurer

Thiem has better stats on clay over the last 12 months. The area that Haider Maurer performs better in is break points. He defends them better and converts more.

Thiem is on his favourite surface and I can see why he is favourite but he is too low. He won his first match when Lajovic retired. He lost both his matches in the Davis Cup at the weekend.

Haider Maurer beat Haase in Davis Cup on clay and also beat Klizan in straight sets this week.

We could see 3 sets.

Lay Thiem below 1.30. Lay the 1st set winner.

 

 

 

ATP, Claro Open Colombia, 21:00 – Berrer v Estrella

Berrer won their only previous meeting. It was this season on a hard court and he won in 3 sets.

Berrer’s toughest match was in the first round. He won 7-5 in the third set against James Ward.

 

Estrella reached the semi finals last year. He hasn’t been serving at the same level as last year. He faced 14 break points in his last match and was broken 3 times.

Berrer has a lot of variety in his game when playing well. I think he will put Estrella under a great deal of pressure. tight sets and at least 1 tbreak. I will lay Estrella if he takes a break lead.

 

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