24th October 2014

ATP Basel, 15:00 – Becker v Karlovic

Karlovic leads the head to heads 6-1 although Becker won their last match which was in August this season.

There won’t be many breaks in this one and a tie break is almost guaranteed.  Becker had shared two tie breaks with Kukushkin in the last round before Kukushkin retired in the third.

Karlovic beat Rosol which included a tie break in the first set. He lost the first set of his last match in a tie break to De Schepper but found a break in the next 2 sets.

Karlovic starts at 1.66 which is low given how tight the sets will be though I do expect him to come through.

We could do with 0-30 on the Karlovic serve to give us 1.80 or better.

 

 

 

ATP Valencia Open, 16:00 – Chardy v Carreno Busta

Chardy reached the quarter finals last season so has equaled that and avoids losing points. Carreno Busta lost in the first round after winning through the qualifying rounds.

Their only previous match came this year on clay and Chardy won in straight sets. Carreno Busta has the home advantage in this one.

Chardy came close to going out in the last round to Dolgopolov. Both players choked away leads but it was Chardy to found a way to win the 2nd and third sets 7-6, 7-5.

Carreno Busta has beaten two Spaniards the reach this stage. Granollers retired and Lopez was beaten 6-4, 6-4 in the last round.

Chardy starts at 1.60 and after the way he played against Dolgopolov I think Carreno Busta is a little more reliable right now. I think he takes this in 3 sets.

 

 

 

ATP Basel, 19:00 – Federer v Dimitrov

Surprisingly they have only played once before and that was at this tournament last season. Federer won in straight sets. At this time last year Federer wasn’t playing his best tennis. He has improved a great deal since then.

Dimitrov has not been playing great tennis this week but you would expect him to lift his game against Federer.

Federer himself struggled against Istomin and needed 3 sets after losing set one. Perhaps he started the match too relaxed but he will be on his toes from the first point in today’s match.

Federer starts at 1.28 but I think we will see a better price on him and it is worth waiting to see if he starts slowly and if Dimitrov comes out all guns blazing he can nick an early break of serve.

Federer won’t be rolling over in his own back yard and i think he will win but not before a struggle.

 

 

 

    Trading Advice