Another winning day on the Shark Tips. Results have settled down now and the matches don’t seem quite so random!
WTA Qatar Total Open, 12:30 – Makarova v Safarova
Safarova leads the head to heads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was an easy win for Safarova last season.
Makarova is now a top 10 player. The 6 month stats favour Makarova on everything except service holds. She reached the quarter finals last week losing to Halep 7-5 in the 3rd set. She reached semis at the Australian Open losing to Sharapova.
Safarova reached the quarter finals last week and really should have beaten Pliskova. She was as et and a break up. She was a little unlucky towards the end of the 2nd set and fell apart in the 3rd.
I think Makarova will take a close match. I’ll wait to back her above 2.20
WTA Qatar Total Open, 14:00 – Kvitova v Jankovic
Head to head is 2-2. Jankovic won their last 2 meetings though her more recent form has been terrible. Surprisingly the 6 month stats favour Jankovic in everything except service holds even though Kvitova has won 19 of her 25 matches and Jankovic won 4 of her 11! Stats against common opponents tell the true story with Kvitova strongly ahead.
Kvitova has had a strong early part of the season but had a couple of unexpected losses to Suarez Navarro and Keys. Both of those are exceptional players on their day but Kvitova should be beating them.
I have to go with Kvitova here though I won’t be backing at SP. Jankovic had a rare win in the last round. She was helped by a poor performance from the usually solid Zheng. Will that help her confidence? Possibly but she’ll need bit more than that to win today.
1.50 on Kvitova will start to attract my stake.
ATP Abierto Mexicano Open , 23:30 – Troicki v Giraldo
Giraldo leads the head to heads 2-0. Their last meeting was last season on a hard court and he won in 2 sets. In fact, both his wins were in straight sets.
The 6 month stats all favour Troicki. With his hard court form this season he is a strong favourite. Giraldo found a little form on the clay this month and will look to transfer that onto the hard courts but Troicki is tough to beat on hard courts right now.
I’d like a little higher entry on Troicki who starts around 1.50