25th March 2014

Murray v Tsonga and Sharapova v Kvitova have been covered for the Shark tips service.

 

15:00Nishikori’s record isn’t great against Ferrer.

On hard courts the Spaniard leads 3-1 and won both their matches last season.

Ferrer reached the final in Miami last season and beat Nishikori in straight sets en route to that final.

Nishikori has a solid straight sets win over Dimitrov last week. Ferrer retired recently with a groin strain and missed Indian Wells but has yet to lose a set in this tournament.

Ferrer starts at 1.60 which seems fair given their history. However I think we will get a higher price in the first few games. We may see 3 sets but Ferrer will come through for the win.

 

16:30Wawrinka v Dolgopolov could be an entertaining match.

Head to heads are 1-1 and Wawrinka won their only previous hard court meeting. That was at the US Open in 2012.

Since he won the Australian Open in January Wawrinka’s form hasn’t been bad but understandably has dipped a little. He started this tournament a little slowly but looked better in the last round against Roger-Vasselin.

Dolgopolov has also enjoyed a great run of form in 2014. He has been in a final and two semi finals and has played some amazing tennis. He isn’t used to playing so much tennis and has said he is tired. He is also a little distracted by the trouble in his home country. However yesterday he showed that he isn’t ready to give up just yet when he came back from losing the opening set to Lajovic.

1.42 looks a bit too low on Wawrinka and 1.60 would seem a fairer price. I think we may see a few breaks in this one but Wawrinka will take it. Anything over 1.60 to 1.70 seems like a decent entry.

 

20:30Isner has been serving superbly recently but today’s opponent has come close to matching him. Berdych is having one of his best starts to a season and while his serve isn’t quite at the level of Isner’s the rest of his game is streets ahead.

A semi final in Melbourne and finals in Rotterdam (which he won) and Dubai left Berdych fatigued for Indian Wells. He lost in his first match to Bautista Agut. He has had no problems in his first two matches in Miami.

I think if Berdych’s rest has enabled him to reproduce the form of a few weeks ago then he will scrape through this one. However if he isn’t quite up to that level I can see Isner taking it in two tie breaks. It will take a poor service game from Berdych if Isner is going to break him.

 

 

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