26 Sep 2013 – Kvitova to struggle

Kuznetsova and Kvitova play their second match of the day. They both had to finish their matches from yesterday. Kuznetsova was 1-4 against Cirstea but fought back to take the set in a tie break and then Cirstea didn’t compete much in the second.

Kvitova’s match  with Keys was suspended for rain yesterday in the first game. She came through comfortably this morning for the loss of just 4 games.

Kvitova won her only previous match with Kuznetsova in 3 sets 2 years ago. She starts as favourite at around 1.70 which seems about right. Both have been serving well if you ignore the first few games from Kuznetsova against Cirstea.

Kvitova’s first match against Bencic was much closer than it should have been. I feel she will struggle more with the conditions added to having to play twice.

I will wait for a lower price to lay Kvitova  in the early games. It should be quite a swingy match.

Update: Kuznetsova came close to breaking but didn’t convert. She applied more pressure on serve than Kvitova did but it was Kvitova who broke and took the set. At the start of set 2 Kuznetsova had 3 break points but couldn’t take those either! She was broken herself in the next game.

Kvitova won 6-4, 6-1.


Radwanska has had a few problems this week particularly against Wozniack in their opening set. She played better against Cibulkova in the next round but will have a tough job to get past Kerber who was very un-Kerber-like in her last match.

Kerber often falters in the latter rounds of tournaments even if she has played well earlier in the week. There was no video for her match with Ivanovic but from the stats and the pattern of the points she was serving and returning at a very high standard.

Radwanska starts at 1.45 and leads the head to heads 4-2. She has won their last 3 meetings with 2 of those being on hard courts.

If Kerber can serve well she has a great chance of getting the win today. In reality I think it is more likely that Radwanska will find a way to get the victory  but we will get a much higher price to back her. 2 tight sets or a 3 setter.

Update: We got the higher price when Kerber broke serve. Radwanska broke back but was immediately broken again.

Kerber won 6-4, 6-4.


Tursunov made a slow start against Ram yesterday but sorted himself out to win in straight sets.

Carreno Busta was fortunate to draw Bogomolov in the first round. The Russian-American-Russian started well but his game started to fall apart and by the time they reached the second set his downward spiral had become a free-fall.

Tursunov starts at 1.48 which feels too low. He has the better game for hard courts and will expect a lot of free points on his serve but these are on the slow side for hard courts and clay courter Busta will keep it close. Don’t be surprised to see Tursunov trade a lot higher.

Tursunov in 3.

Update: Tursunov broke in the first game so no higher price. He won 6-2, 6-4.


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