28th July 2014

As we move into the American hard court season it is a great time for part time traders with a lot of matches in the evening.

 

ATP Kizbuhel Cup, 14:00Dustin Brown takes on Riba in Austria.

They have played just once before which was on clay last August. Riba won in 3 sets.

Riba is a clay court specialist and spends most of his time on the Challenger tour.  He has had a couple of injury problems since June though he has reached a couple of Challenger finals.

Brown is having a good season with the highlight being a win over Nadal on grass. He has also beaten Verdasco and narrowly lost out to Kohlschreiber in a third set tie break in their Hamburg quarter final. Playing more regularly against the top players is certainly helping his game.

They start around evens  and whilst I expect it to be fairly close I have to go with Brown as he has shown the better recent form against decent opposition.

Part stake on him at the start and the rest if he goes an early break behind.

 

WTA Bank of West Classic, 19:00Date Krumm can be an awkward opponent. She reached the quarter final in Birmingham and whilst she went out of Wimbledon in round 1 she narrowly lost to makarova 5-7 in the third set. She doesn’t have a great record on North American hard courts.

Pliskova’s game is well suited to the hard courts and she has enjoyed more success on them than her opponent. A final in January, quarter finals in Monterrey and Istanbul and a semi final in Kuala Lumpur demonstrate her ability.

They have played once before which was in 2012 on a hard court. Date Krumm won in 3 sets. Pliskova was ranked 115th that day. Today she is ranked 45th. Date Krumm was 121st and now 88th.

Pliskova starts at 1.51 and I would prefer 1.70 before backing her.ATP

 

ATP Citi Open, 21:00Paire has been having a lot of problems with his knee this year and has won just 2 of his last 10 matches.

Dancevic is more at home on the clay although he had a decent Wimbledon reaching the second round as a qualifier this year. He did have a respectable American hard court season last year that started with a title in Canada in a Challenger tournament.

If Paire was at his best then his SP of 1.60 would be generous but this is a match to stay away from in the early games. I think there is a decent chance of Paire trading above evens and i will be watching to try to gauge his form. if Dancevic can serve well he can hang on to a single break for the set. if the Canadian gets into a a winning position I would expect him to have a few choke moments. if there is no sign of Paire grabbing his knee or limping  then backing  him when a break down isn’t a bad plan. Go easy with the stakes though!

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