29th March 2015

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ATP Miami Open, 16:00 – Anderson v L Mayer

Anderson leads the head to heads  2-1. They haven’t played since 2010. They are 1-1 on hard courts. Their sets are always close.

Mayer’s win in the last round was his first ever win in Miami. Anderson hasn’t won back to back matches in Miami since 2011.

He did well to beat Querrey but it didn’t look likely during the match. Querrey’s serve was red hot. He won the 1st set in a tie break. When he went a break up in the second Anderson hadn’t had a break point. Anderson served 10 double faults and struggled in most service games but it must have been disheartening to have so few chances on return. When he broke Querrey his own serve improved.

I can see this going to 3 sets. I give a slight edge to Anderson. He starts around 1.53 but I need 1.75 before backing.

 

 

 

WTA Miami Open, 17:30 – Kuznetsova v Kerber

Head to heads are  3-3. The most recent was this season on a hard court. Kerber won in 2 sets. Four of their 6 matches went to 3 sets.

Season stats favour Kuznetsova despite her worse Win/Loss record. Kerber has a couple of weak losses this year. Kuznetsova hasn’t had so many wins but her losses have been to tough opponents.

I give the edge to Kuznetsova. I think we see 3 sets. Prices look about right.

Back Kuznetsova when she goes a break behind.

 

 

 

WTA Miami Open, 21:00 – Larsson v Stephens

Larsson leads the head to heads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was this season on a  hard court. She won in 2 sets.

Larsson beat Safarova in straight sets in the last round. She has really improved her consistency this season.

Stephens has played better in last few weeks. Having points to defend on home soil has focused her mind.

I think Stephens finally gets a victory  over Larsson and wins in 3.

Stephen’s price is too low though. Lay Stephens below 1.25 for a trade.

 

 

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