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Nieminen has played Przysiezny twice. He won both matches. The last time was in 2011 on a hard court and went to 3 sets.
Przysiezny beat Granollers in 3 sets in the last round and Nieminen came back from a break behind to beat Monaco in straight sets. In the last month Przysiezny has held serve 80% of the time compared to 75% for Nieminen. Nieminen has better numbers for return of serve although Przysiezny converted more break point chances.
Nieminen has to be favourite but 1.36 is too low considering Przysiezny’s serve. I’ll try to lay him below 1.25 in the early games.There’s a good chance of 3 sets.
Update: Przysiezny took the first set in a tie break. Nieminen won in 3.
Nieminen won 6-7, 6-4, 6-2.
Tsonga is at 1.38 against Dodig. They have played just once before and Dodig won in a third set tie break.
I think Tsonga takes this one but not before Dodig has one of the fast starts that he tries to go for these days. Tsonga had last week to get back into the swing of things and should have too much for Dodig over 3 sets. I’ll wait for him to go a break behind.
Update: Tsonga did g a break behind but never came back.
Dodig won 6-4, 7-6.
Ivanovic was pushed very close by Pennetta in their first set. She faces another player whose serve is working well in Polona Hercog.
Hercog is more at home on the clay but when her serve is finding its target she can come up with some very respectable performances on the hard courts.
Hercog reached the third round last year as a qualifier and she has come through those qualifying stages once again this year.
Ivanovic also reached the third round in 2012 where she lost to Oprandi. If her game works well then she will take this but if she starts to push balls long and wide and doesn’t hit the lines then Hercog has a chance of keeping this close.
I will try a lay of Ivanovic but not at her SP of 1.30. If we get 1.20 to 1.23 in the early games will take it.
Update Excellent performance from Hercog. Too many errors from Ivanovic.
Hercog won 6-4, 6-4.
Lisicki won’t have such an easy match against Li. Venus was terrible on Tuesday and her slow second serve was easy for Lisicki to attack with her forehand.
Lisicki leads their head to heads 2-1 but Li won their most recent. That was in 2012 and was the only match they have played on a hard court.
Li starts at 1.37 but I will be waiting for above 1.60 before backing her. If Lisicki breaks early then I will take the chance of a higher entry.
Li to win in 2 tight sets or maybe 3.
Update: Li won 7-5, 6-4.