30 Jan 2014

In Paris its understandable why Svitolina and Voskoboeva are at evens.

Voskoboeva came through the qualifying rounds and has won her last 2 matches in third set tie breaks having lost the opening set each time.

Svitolina didn’t win a game in her second set against Vinci but won the third 7-5. I’d expect her to be fresher with this being just her second match of the week while Voskoboeva is playing her 5th.

They both gave up a lot of break points in their last match with Svitoilna facing 14 and Voskoboeva allowing 20. In the end their own break point conversions proved to be the deciding factor.

Voskoboeva’s tactics are to play aggressively but if she is feeling a little fatigued she will start to miss the lines that she has been hitting earlier in the week.

I am going for Svitolina in this one but it is likely to be another 3 setter. Hopefully Voskoboeva can take the lead before her shots start spraying all over the court.

Update: Svitolina won 6-1, 6-2.

 

Vesnina must feel she has a chance of another title this week in Paris. Her starting price of 1.10 suggests that people agree with that but even though she is playing someone who has never reached a WTA second round before this week that price has to be a lay.

Vesnina will come through in the end. I can’t see why she wouldn’t want to go deep this week with other strong players having left the tournament.

Update: Vesnina won 6-3, 6-3.

 

Dulgheru has beaten Peng on a hard court before although it was in 2011. Their only other meeting was last year in Indian Wells which Peng took in 3 sets.

She has come through the qualifying rounds this week. Her last 2 matches have been tough 3 setters so whilst she may be tiring a little she should be timing her strokes well.

Other than her final in Shenzhen Peng has been leaving tournaments early. She didn’t like the heat in Melbourne and I’m not sure the humidity will do her any favours today.

I can see this being another 3 setter but have to favour Dulgheru to at least take a set and she has a great chance to take the match.

I will look to lay Peng below 1.30 .

Update: Dulgheru broke in Peng’s first service game but Peng won 6-3, 6-4.

 

Mladenovic justified her Wild Card entry to Paris by beating Halep in straight sets.

Petkovic starts as favourite at 1.57 but Mladenovic reached the semi finals last season losing to eventual winner Barthel and I think she will give everything here and take it close.

Before Petkovic started with her injury problems she reached the quarter finals in each of her two visits to this event.

Looks like Petkovic in 3 sets to me. They haven’t played before so it’s hard to know who will start better.  Both have been losing a lot of opening sets lately.

Update: Petkovic won 6-4, 6-2.

 

In the Hopman Cup at the end of December Cornet lost 5-7 in the third set to Kvitova.  Kvitova has won both their matches on hard courts.

Kvitova often starts matches slowly and as she is playing a French woman in Paris I’d say there is a very good chance she will go an early break down. I will be waiting for a higher price on her as I feel she will come through in the end.

Another 3 setter is a real possibility.

Update: Kvitova withdrew before the match with breathing problems.

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