30th April 2015

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All main tour, main draw matches covered.



ATP BMW Open, 14:00 – Fognini v Thiem

Fognini reached the final last year. Maybe he was conserving energy in the second set against Trinker but shouldn’t have been taken to a tie break.

Thiem also took longer than expected in his first round match. He needed 3 sets against Pospisil who is usually very poor on clay.

Thiem is the sort of player that Fognini can lose to if his mind isn’t on the match. He has a lot of points to defend though. We haven’t seen the sort of form we saw from him last year and Thiem should be competitive here. As usual on clay this is Fog’s to win or lose. Not a terrible price on him. I will want a  higher entry price on Fognini

Fognini starts around 1.58

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WTA Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, 15:30 – Schmiedlova v Bacsinszky

Schmiedlova leads 1-0. That was at Wimbledon 2013 and she won in 3 sets.

Schmiedlova has won her last 9 matches. She struggled on serve a little in her last match. She hit 8 doubles faults and needed 3 sets as a 1.17 favourite.

Bacsinszky has won 19 of her last 20 matches. The only loss was to Serena. She has come through a couple of tricky matches in straight sets.

Schmiedlova really should be able to put her under more pressure than her previous opponents. 3 sets look a possibility.

I am favouring Bacsinszky for the win. She starts around 1.42 which looks low. Wait for her to go an early break behind.

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