3rd August 2014

ATP Citi Open, 20:00 – Pospisil v Raonic

An all Canadian final. their only meeting in the last 2 seasons was in the Montreal semi final last year. Raonic won in a third set tie break.

Raonic has forced his way into the top 10 since then and working with Ljubicic seems to be paying off. His return game has improved a great deal.

Pospisil has picked up a couple of nice scalps this week with Berdych and then Gasquet both giving below par performances.

Raonic hasn’t won a title yet in 2014 and whilst next week is a big week for him I see no reason for him to not give everything today.

Pospisil has had injury problems this season and I doubt many people expected him to reach this final. he has nothing lose and will go for broke today but his last 2 matches were tough 3 setters and I think Raonic’s efficient game will prove too much for him once again.

Raonic starts at 1.26 which is no value especially as the sets are likely to be close. Their match last season had 2 tie breaks.

I will wait for a higher entry on Raonic who can sometimes have a shaky first service game. Once he gets into his groove from the line Pospisil will have to hope for tie breaks again.

 

WTA bank of the West Classic, 22:00 – Serena Williams v Kerber

They have played five times. Each one was won in straight sets. Williams leads 4-1.

They have met twice in the last 12 months and only once did Kerber reach 3 games in a set.

Williams hasn’t been at her best recently and if Kerber is to add to her single win then this could be a great chance. However there is a problem. This is a final. Kerber stinks in finals. She has reached three this season and has lost them all. In two of them she was a strong pre match favourite.

Williams has won 9 of her last 10 finals. She starts at 1.17 and given some of her recent losses which have been put down to health issues it would be a brave person who backed her from the start.

Despite Kerber’s record in finals I will be laying Williams from the start and hoping to switch the green to Williams higher up the ladder. If Williams goes behind we could see a little market panic

    Trading Guide