4th October 2014

Djokovic beat Murray in straight sets this morning. The second semi final in China is coming up at lunch time.

 

 

WTA China, 10:00 – Sharapova v Ivanovic

The start time will be delayed as the first semi final is being affected by rain.

Ivanovic has won their last two meetings including a three set win on the hard courts of Cincinnati in August. She hasn’t looked quite as sharp this week though. That’s not to say she is playing badly. she has won all her matches in straight sets and had a walkover through the quarter finals when Halep withdrew shortly after her win over Petkovic.

Sharapova has also been playing well lately and has reduced the errors and double faults this week. She did double fault 6 times against Suarez Navarro but in the quarter final she managed to keep the count down to zero. She also saved 4 of the 5 break points she allowed Kuznetsova.

Sharapova starts at 1.61 which has drifted a little this morning. She will trade higher than that and they really should be priced nearer evens. If the match is played under the roof it may shift things slightly in Ivanovic’s favour but I am still going for a Sharapova win. I will wait for the better prices though before backing her.

Will we see 3 sets? As they are close it seems likely but I have a gut feeling that whoever wins will do so in straight sets.

 

 

 

ATP China, 12:30 – Berdych v Klizan

Klizan called his win over Nadal “the match of my life”. Nadal had looked in very good shape this week but another player came out against him playing aggressive tennis and hit the lines rather than missing by 3 feet. Players have realised that this style can trouble Nadal but it is the sort of tennis usually only achievable on the practice court. Once in a while it comes off in a match. Klizan will need a repeat of that level to win today against a player he has never beaten. This looks like a classic “let down” situation though.

Berdych had a surprisingly easy win over Isner in the last round. The American was broken 3 times and could take any of his 3 break points. Losing the first set 6-1 must have crushed his confidence.

Berdych starts at 1.23 and as long as he doesn’t have a real shocker he will take this. Occasionally he does do that though. Klizan must have used everything he had both physically and mentally to beat Nadal. He can probably push Berdych in the early games but I think he will be running on empty today.

    Trading Guide