5th March 2014 – Mens 1/4 final predictions and tonight’s WTA trading

Today has been one of challenges. I haven’t been home long so there won’t be time to write up my notes on the ATP draw. I will do that in the morning. I know a lot of you use the quarter final predictions when I do them for the grand slams so here they are for Indian Wells.

Predicted quarter finals for the top half of the draw:  Nadal v Murray, Wawrinka v Federer

Semi final: Nadal v Wawrinka

Predicted quarter finals for the bottom half of the draw: Kohlschreiber v Berdych, Tsonga v Djokovic

Semi final: Berdych v Djokovic

Final: Wawrinka v Djokovic – Djokovic to win in 3 sets.

 

Tonight’s WTA matches:

19:00Zvonareva won the title in 2009. She was ranked 6th in the world back then and has had to rely on a wild card entry this year. She plays Peng who managed a quarter final finish in 2011 when she lost in 3 sets to Sharapova.

Zvonareva hasn’t beaten a decent opponent since July and whilst I feel 1.45 is too short on Peng I think she will come through in the end.  I expect Vera to put up a decent fight.

Update: Peng won 4-6, 6-0, 7-5.

 

21:00 – I want a higher price on Petrova against Soler Espinosa. Petrova’s results haven’t been great since her break after the US Open. She has played sporadically decent tennis along the way though but rustiness wasn’t a surprise.

Soler Espinosa has lost 6 of the last 7 matches and this isn’t her best surface.

1.60 in play would seem like a gift assuming Petrova is fit.

Update: Petrova retired after 2 games.

 

21:00 – If Wickmayer has one of her frequent off days she could have some problems with qualifier Schmiedlova.

Schmiedlova was very solid from the service line in her last qualification match. She has had two matches to get used to conditions which is  big advantage.

They played at last year’s French Open and Schiedlova won. Obviously that was on clay but I think she has a great chance today. This is close enough to make Schmiedlova the value pick.

I want to lay Wickmayer below 1.50 .

Update: Wickmayer won 3-6, 6-2, 6-4.

 

In other matches, Watson seems o be in decent form and she has com through the qualifying rounds. She plays wild card Bencic  and starts as a 1.60 favourite. I think that’s a fair price  but not value. If we can get on her after she goes an early break behind I’ll take it.

Update: Watson won 7-5, 6-4.

Dellacqua and McHale should have a cracking match. Both have big ground strokes. Their stats are really close but I give Dellacqua the edge from the service line.

McHale lost in the final in Mexico. She isn’t used to still being in the mix for the latter stages  of tournaments and that might affect her if this turns into the battle that I expect.

Value is on Dellacqua and I will  look to lay McHale if she takes an early lead.

Update: Dellacqua won 7-6, 6-4.

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