Djokovic v Nadal
This one isn’t as easy to predict as their US Open final. One common theme when these two meet is that generally speaking how they have played in previous rounds means less than it would for other players. Their supreme competitiveness kicks in and they raise their game. These are the matches that get their juices flowing.
Nadal leads the head to heads 22-15 and has won 3 of their 4 meetings in 2013 including the last 3.
If we do look at stats for the week Djokovic has better service stats but Nadal edges the other stats such as return points won and break points converted.
The battle is on for who will hold the number 1 spot at the end of the season. Things like the number 1 spot are the prizes along with Grand Slams that drive the players at the top of their sport.
I have to go with Nadal and especially so as an underdog. Three sets have to be a real possibility.
Del Potro v Raonic
The rematch! The last time they played there was the incident where Raonic touched the net during a point which should have seen the point go to Del Potro. The umpire didn’t see it and Raonic didn’t admit to it. Del Potro was angry and that distracted him sufficiently at a crucial stage of the match. Raonic won shortly after.
Both are serving well. Raonic hasn’t been broken all week and has faced just 1 break point. Del Potro has held serve 87% of the time this week.
Del Potro has allowed fewer holds by his opponents although I’m not sure that stat has any relevance to this match!
If they continue the level they have shown this week Raonic will be the hardest to get a break from. Del Potro has a habit of switching off for 1 game in a tight set and that could be enough as it was in their last match.
I have to favour the underdog again in this one.
S Williams v Jankovic
Serena had an MTO in her semi final although she is reported as saying it was for a back spasm caused by playing so much tennis recently.
It is good to see Jankovic playing more consistently again although I do wish she hadn’t wrecked my tip on Kvitova on Saturday.
Serena leads the head to heads 6-4 and she has won both the matches in the last 2 seasons. One this year and one in 2012. Neither match was on a hard court.
I think for Jankovic to take a set will need a drop in level from her opponent caused either by a lapse in concentration or by protecting the back too much. In reality as long as the back issue actually was a spasm then I’d expect Serena to try to finish the match quickly which will make her super intense.
It would be great if Jankovic could take the opening set from a trading point of view but I think her best shot will be to take set 2.
Only injury will prevent Serena taking the title.
p.s.just 24 hours left of the £19 offer on the Trading Guide / Membership