6th Jan 2015

Again I will be in the chatroom until around 3am. The markets seemed to die a bit at that time. I will post a couple of matches for tomorrow’s ATP matches. There’s not much point posting for the 3am to 7pm matches if no one is going to trade them.

 

WTA ASB Classic, 23:00 – Flipkens v Vandeweghe

Flipkens scraped through her match with Larsson. Both her sets were won in tie breaks and she lost the second set 6-1.

Vandeweghe came back from a set down in her match with Vinci. The Italian looked like she was going to avoid another losing start to a season. Both players served well in the first set and we saw no break points on Vinci’s serve.Vandeweghe stepped up the pressure to take the match in 3 sets.

Flipkens reached the semi finals last season but ended the season poorly. She gave Larsson 13 break points in the first round.

I think we will see more chances for Vandeweghe and Flipkens could struggle to break Coco’s serve too many times.

Vandeweghe starts at 1.51 which has shortened since the market opened. We need a higher entry of at least 1.75 before I get in.

 

 

ATP Brisbane Open, 01:00 – Klizan v Dolgopolov

They have played before but it was in 2010 and on a clay court. Klizan won in 3 sets.

Dolgopolov reached the final in 2012. He started last season reasonably well. In his first round match he served strongly in his straight sets win over Berlocq. He gave just 4 break point chances and saved 3 of them.

Klizan had to fight harder for his place in the second round. He and Melzer took a tie break set each but Klizan ran away with the third. He served  14 aces and saved 4 of the 6 break points he faced.

I think we will see a tie break in tonight’s match. Dolgopolov starts at 1.55 but there is a very good chance that he trades higher.

Dolgopolov to win in 3 sets.

 

 

After some much needed sleep…….

 

ATP Chennai Open, 13:15 – Wawrinka v Coric

Wawrinka starts at 1.43 which seems very generous against a player outside the top 100. He is the defending champion this week and of course followed that up last season by winning the Australian Open.

Coric’s form improved throughout last season although most of his good runs were in Challengers. he did reach the semi finals in Basel beating Gulbis and Nadal.

Whilst big serving Coric will cause him a few problems I have to back Wawrinka at this price. I can’t find anything to suggest why he is at this price.

 

 

ATP Qatar, 12:30 – Brown v Struff

Struff starts at 1.72 which is approximately the same price as he was when he played Brown last season on clay. Brown won that day in straight sets.

Struff’s game is more suited to hard courts and he will give Brown more problems in this one.

Brown beat clay courter Lorenzi in the first round. Struff beat 5th seed Kohlschreiber in 3 sets.

Struff ended last season with a couple of losses against big servers. He was favourite in both those matches. Brown also has a big serve in his arsenal and if that fires for him today this can be very close.

Brown’s stats on hard courts are stronger over the last 6 months and also over the last year. Something that lets him down is his break point conversion and as I don’t expect him to get too many chances on the Struff serve I am giving Struff a small edge today.

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