7th August 2014

The hype over Nick Kyrgios disappeared with barely a whimper yesterday. To be fair it was a very strong, professional display from Murray who didn’t appear to be rusty at all as a lot of people, myself included, thought he might be.

Quite a few unexpected performances yesterday. There were concerns that Monfils wasn’t fully fit yet he came very close to knocking out Djokovic. The Serb traded at around 2.50 in the third set but managed to get the job done.

Gulbis went down in straight sets to Benneteau. Cilic needed a third set tie break to beat Jaziri.

heather Watson beat Cibulkova in a third set tie break when she looked to have blown her chance in the second set. She was 4-0 up and had a break point for 5-0 but Cibulkova managed to take the set into a tie break and level at 1 set all.

In all there were 6 matches that ended in a deciding set tie break.

 

 

WTA Rogers Cup, 17:00 – Wozniacki v Rogers.

Rogers beat local favourite Bouchard in the first round. She won in 3 sets with both her sets being bagels. The weight of expectation proved too much for Bouchard.

Wozniacki has beaten two very capable players in Koukalova and Hantuchova in the previous rounds.

Wozniacki is exactly 100 places above her opponent in the rankings and starts at 1.20 .

Both these players have been serving well. In the last 3 months Woznaicki has held serve 81% of the time and Rogers 70% which are figures you would be more likely to see in ATP stats than WTA. Rogers’ problem today is that Wozniacki is one of the best returners on the tour.

They haven’t played before so there is an outside chance that Woz gets caught out in her first couple of service games to give us a more backable price. Rogers needs to get what she can from the opening set as if she loses it I expect a quick second set.

 

ATP Rogers Cup, 18:00 – Robredo v Dimitrov

They have played once before though that was on clay last season. Robredo won in straight sets.

Robredo has been pretty solid this season. He reached the third round at the French Open and the 4th round at Wimbledon. he also reached the 4th round at the Australian Open where he lost to eventual champion Wawrinka. He has had two excellent win so far this week beating Kohlschreiber and Simon in straight sets.

This is Dimitrov’s first tournament since his excellent grass season that saw him take the title in Eastbourne and reach the semi final at Wimbledon. In his first match I was a little surprised to see him lose the first set to Donald Young but he got his act together in sets two and three.

Dimitrov starts at 1.47 but I think the sets should be close and I expect us to see a higher price on Dimitrov. I will wait to back Dimitrov when a break behind.

 

ATP Rogers Cup, 23:30 – Lopez v Berdych

Berdych hasn’t looked very impressive recently. He was pushed extremely close by Lu in the last round. Washington was his first tournament after Wimbledon and having beaten Ginepri in his first match he went down weakly to Pospisil in straight sets.

Lopez had a superb grass season until he finally ran out of energy in the 4th round at Wimbledon. He also didn’t do well in Washington losing to Estrella Burgos in straight sets as a 1.29 favourite.

Berdych starts at 1.40 today and in a match that will be serve dominated that is too low.  Break chances may be few and far between but a lay of Berdych below 1.30 should give us a good chance of profit. Even if Berdych was in top form he wouldn’t have an easy match.

 

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