Trading is the way to go tonight (as it usually is). We don’t have many matches where I’d want to be entering from the start.
21:00 – So when do we get the old Bouchard back? The market has faith in her tonight and she starts at 1.51 against Peng.
Bouchard reached the quarter finals in Mexico but lost to Garcia as a 1.15 favourite. That won’t have done much for her confidence.
Peng took Safarova to 3 sets in Doha and in the first round this week she came back against Zvonareva having lost the opening set.
Obviously if Bouchard plays her best tennis she can breeze past Peng The trouble is that she hasn’t played that level of tennis for a while and it seems unlikely that she can go from zero to hero straight away.
I think we will see a much higher price on Bouchard. I also think we will see 3 sets. Neither player has a significantly better record in deciding sets so it would be a coin toss if we get there.
Update: This wasn’t the contest I expected.
Bouchard won 6-2, 6-2.
21:00 – Safarova has never played Wickmayer. Her starting price of 1.46 is, as usual, too low.
Wickmayer has produced some respectable performances against average players. In Doha she stepped it up and reached the quarter finals beating Petkovic and Wozniacki along the way. Whenever she comes up with a good tournament she usually has a few bad ones after it.
I want a higher price but Safarova should be taking this one.
Update: Safarova won 6-3, 6-4.
23:00 – If Dellacqua was underdog against Flipkens then I’d have no hesitation in saying the value was on her. Flipkens is so erratic. Her level of play can vary wildly from one match to the next.
Flipkens’ best tennis would outrank that of Dellacqua but the Aussie player will fight more for every point.
Dellacqua won their only previous meeting which was at this year’s Australian Open.
I want a price nearer evens on her but I am going with Dellacqua for the win.
Update: Dellacqua won 1-6, 6-3, 6-1.