9 Jan 2014 – Wednesday night shift

Bautista Agut and Sock should have a decent battle tonight.

Bautista Agut beat Paire in straight sets and Sock knocked out a very rusty Tommy Haas in 2.

I was very impressed with Sock. With a name like his it’s easy to not take him seriously but a few years ago the same could be said of Mardy Fish. Sock’s game has matured since I last saw him and he is a lot more than just a decent server. Shot selection was very solid.

Bautista Agut has a decent serve and can be a tricky opponent. This will be a tough test for Sock and I have to side with the Spaniard. I won’t be backing below evens though. Bautista Agut starts at 1.75 .

Update: Bautista Agut won 6-1, 6-3.

 

Kohlschreiber starts as favourite against Isner. The big American wasn’t serving at full power against Lacko and needed 3 sets to get the win.

Isner leads the head to heads 3-2. Kohlschreiber’s two wins were both at the US Open (2012 and 2013). Two of Isner’s wins were on hard courts and all 3 of his wins went to 3 sets.

Kohlschreiber reached the final in Auckland last season where he lost to Ferrer. Isner won the title in 2010 and also reached the quarter finals in 2011.

I’m not convinced that Isner is 100% fit and will be favouring the German. Again I will be waiting to back above evens.

Update: Isner won 6-7, 7-6, 7-6.

 

Stosur traditionally doesn’t perform well in her home country. She has managed a couple of wins this week but has looked less than impressive. She needed 3 sets to get past Brengle in the first round and then scraped through against Mladenovic in a third set tie break.

Jovanovski has had an average start to the season but if she has one of her good days she is capable of at least taking Stosur to another final set.

They have only played once which was on grass in 2011. Stosur won in straight sets. I expect her to get the win today but it is unlikely she will do it the easy way.

Stosur is likely to get broken early so I will wait for that to happen before backing her.

Update: Stosur was broken early. She won 6-3, 6-2.

 

Steve Johnson had two matches yesterday and while he came through 5 tough sets against Baghdatis and Anderson his legs must be feeling a little heavy today.

Lu withdrew last week. He beat qualifier Klahn in 3 sets in the last round and starts as favourite in this match. As the match goes on I expect Johnson’s fatigue to force him to lose concentration and the errors will increase.

1.67 on Lu isn’t an attractive entry price though. Wait for higher while Johnson is still playing his best tennis.

Update: Lu won 6-4, 6-4.

 

Dolgopolov and Tomic. Can you think of two more flaky characters? This week though they have been focused and have both produced some good tennis.

They have played three times in the last 2 seasons with Dolgopolov winning the last two. They were both on clay though. The other meeting was in 2012 and on a hard court. Tomic won that one.

Dolgopolov narrowly lost in 3 sets last week against Ferrer. This week he has despatched an injured Vasselin and Janowicz fairly easily.

Tomic has responded well to the home crowd and he will be up for this but Dolgopolov loves to beat a home player and home crowd when his game is on.

1.81 on Dolgopolov seems a decent price to me and I will back with part stake at the start and see how the set progresses.

Update: Thankfully I went to bed before this one. Tomic won 6-4, 6-3.

 

 

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