9th February 2015

I can’t say i am sorry to see the back of last week.  I suppose a week with three ATP 250 events should set minor alarm bells ringing. It certainly will from now on.

This week we have two ATP 250’s and an ATP 500 plus the WTA is back.

 

WTA BNP Paribas Fortis Diamond Games, 10:30 – Schiavone v Friedsam

What a catchy tournament title. They are finishing the qualifying rounds in Antwerp with the main draw matches starting tomorrow.

These two start around evens. My Shark Tips selection process was not conclusively with either player in this one though my gut feeling is Schiavone has a slight edge.

Both players have won their two matches so far in straight sets although Schiavone had a much stiffer test in up and coming player Dodin.

Friedsam has the more consistent serve but Schiavone is stronger on return of serve. This should be a close match. My Wins a Set picks suggest Friedsam will get a good start and will trade lower in the first set. if she does and Schiavone is striking the ball well I will back the Italian when she is a break behind.

 

 

ATP ABN AMRO World Tennis, 20:15 – Goffin v Muller

Muller has made an excellent start to the season. That is until I tipped him to beat Berankis last week! From a winning position at 5-2 in the second set tie break he managed to lose the match. I suppose there could have been some fatigue as he had played a lot of tennis but professional athletes really shouldn’t be so fatigued that is affects their performance so dramatically after just a month of the season.

Goffin looked like he was ready for another great season when he reached the semi finals in Chennai in the first week. Since then though he hasn’t looked quite as assured as we have come to expect from the Michael J Fox lookalike.

Goffin has better overall stats in the last 6 months. Not surprisingly Muller has stronger stats from the service line but Goffin is ahead in all the other major categories.

At the Australian open Goffin’s first serve percentage was below 50% in both his matches. He needs that to improve today. Whilst Muller is weak on return of serve Goffin needs to concentrate on making the most of the limited chances to break serve and needs his own service games to be routine. If he can get 55% to 60% of his first serves in then his greater returning ability can become the deciding factor in this one.

Goffin starts at 1.62 but there’s a good chance we see a higher price on him. I am looking for 1.75 or better before backing him.

 

 

ATP Memphis Open, 22:45 – Matosevic v Brown

Two players that are usually hard to predict.

Other than a win over Paire at the Hopman Cup exhibition Matosevic has just one win from 4 matches in 2015.

Dustin brown finished last season strongly and reached the quarter finals in Doha at the start of 2015 where he lost to Ferrer. Since then he drew Dimitrov and Janowicz in the Australian Open and Montpellier. he did take the opening set from Janowicz who went on to reach the final.

Stats over the last 6 months favour Brown and I have to agree though I think this will be close. Three sets are quite possible. I think Brown will like to conditions in Memphis and if his twitter account is to be believed he has been working hard to be ready for this week.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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