9th March 2015

The qualifying rounds of the WTA tournament start today in Indian Wells.

 

18:00 – Allertova v Jabeur

Allertova leads the head to heads 1-0 (2014, indoor hard, 2 sets).

Allertova  leads the 6 month stats in everything except service holds. She finished 2014 well with a semi final in Luxembourg as a qualifier. She also reached the second round of the Australian Open as a qualifier.

Jabeur also ended 2014 well with a final of an ITF event. Three of her 5 losses this year have been as favourite.

Wait for higher price on Allertova. She starts around 1.45

 

 

19:30 – Panova v Hradecka

Panova leads the head to heads 1-0 (2012, clay,. 3 sets).

Stats show Panova stronger on serve but Hradecka stronger in all other areas.

Since Panova took Sharapova to 3 sets in Melbourne she has lost all her 3 matches. In 2 of them she was a strong pre match favourite.

Hradecka has a strong serve but it hasn’t been firing well for her recently. The start price on her assumes she will serve well but her second serve has been very attackable.

Three sets seem likely and there will be more breaks than the market seems to expect. This means a break of serve will move the market more than the average number of ticks.

Slight edge to Hradecka. She starts around 1.57 but wait for a higher entry.

 

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