17:30 – Almagro v Istomin
Rankings are 18 and 74. They haven’t played before.
This is just the second match that Almagro has played since the end of the clay season where he played so well. In his first round match he beat Kubot in straight sets but it was very tight.
Istomin played the Aegon Championship last week and took Nadal to three sets in the third round. He has a very consistent first serve at 67% and wins 78% of his service games.
Almagro’s first serve percentage is lower at 59% but he wins 85% of his service games.
The market has Istomin as slight favourite. If this was on clay then Almagro would be a strong favourite but as Istomin has had more games to get used to grass he has more chance today.
Hopefully this will be the live trading match and I will be watching the opening couple of games and then will be looking to back the server who looks most comfortable.
This is a match than can go either way so dont stay in a trade too long. Obviously if you can pick the player who gets the first break then you wil get a decent profit but that has been very difficult to predict this week!