Nadal won their only previous meeting which was in March last year. That was at Indian Wells and Nadal won it 7-5 in the third set on a hard court.
Zverev wasn’t impressive in his 1st round win over Haase. He came through in 5 sets. He was better against Tiafoe in the second round and saved all 5 of the break points that he faced.
Nadal has been broken once in 2 matches. In fact he didn’t face a single break point in the first round.
Zverev seems to love playing against the big names. I think he may take a set but will need one of his inspired performances if he is to really trouble the Spaniard.
Nadal starts around 1.38 . Back him if he is broken first