Baghdatis 1.80, Troicki 2.20
Baghdatis leads their previous matches 5-3. They last met in May 2017 in Istanbul. Troicki won on a clay court in straight sets. Troicki also won their last hard court meeting in Chengdu, China in 2016. That match went to 3 sets.
Baghdatis leads 2-1 on hard courts. He reached the final in Dubai in 2016. He has made the better start to 2018 on hard courts.
Troicki has a poor record in Dubai. Just two wins from his last 10. His only main draw win was in 2010. He has not had easy draws to be fair. This season he has won just 1 of his 4 matches.
I give Baghdatis an edge here. The sets should be close. Back him above 2.00