Jeremy Chardy (2.68) v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1.56)
Due to start at 4 pm
Davidovich Fokina won their only previous meeting in April 2019. That was also in Estoril and he won in straight sets.
Their overall win percentages are pretty even. Chardy has a higher ROI. On clay courts it is Davidovich Fokina who has better results.
Chardy beat Jaume Munar in the last round. He was a set down when he seemed to have a problem with his right shoulder. He had an MTO but after treatment he started to play better. He fought back to win in 3sets. He was broken 5 times in that match and hit 6 d faults.
Davidovich Fokina needed 3 sets to beat Pablo Andujar in the first round. He took the first set and Andujar was up a break in set 2 when they stopped for a rain delay. When they resumed Davidovich Fokina broke back and it looked like being a straight sets win. A late break gave the second set to Andujar. Davidovich Fokina was broken just 3 times in those 3 sets.
Back Davidovich Fokina around 2.00 to 2.10. If he loses concentration he might give Chardy an opportunity to take a set.
Update: This was a very one sided match. Chardy was broken at the start of both sets and won just 3 games in the match.
Davidovich Fokina won 6-1, 6-2.
I have had a handful of questions in the last few months asking about the advice that I give on this blog and also on Twitter. The most common question is asking if the tips are intended to be backed and left to run.
The short answer is “NO”. The slightly longer answer is “HELL NO”. The long answer is that I very rarely leave a back bet to run until the end of the match. I can think of just 2 occasions in the last year. The clue is in the title of the site. The tips are for TRADING.
The aim of the match picks on here and in the Daily Trading Tips emails is to give you a value entry point. After that you need to manage your position. If you have little tennis trading experience here are some simple ways to manage the trade:
Once the price has reached the target price and you have entered your first trade you are waiting for a significant price move in your favour. This can be a break of serve or your player wins the set. Then you should remove some or all of your liability (risk).
If your player does not perform well and gets broken after you have entered the trade then you can exit with a loss.