ATP Estoril Open, Final: Tsitsipas v Cuevas

Due to start at 3:30 pm

Tsitsipas 1.42, Cuevas 3.25

Tsitsipas won their only previous meeting.  That was in October 2017 on an indoor court in Antwerp, Belgium. He won in 2 sets.

Overall results favour Tsitsipas in the last 12 months. They are fairly closely matched in 2019. Tsitsipas leads 71% v 69% matches won this season. Clay results favour Cuevas in 2019. Stats for the tournament favour Cuevas.

Tsitsipas beat Goffin in 3 sets in the last round. Goffin had not been in great form in 2019 but had picked up his level this week. That was the only set Tsitsipas lost this week. He reached the semi final last season.

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Cuevas lost in the qualifying rounds to Caruso in 3 sets. It seems very likely that he knew he had a lucky loser place in the min draw as he met Caruso again and beat him in straight sets. He needed 3 sets against last year’s finalist Frances Tiafoe. In form qualifier Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has had an amazing week and had beaten Gael Monfils in the previous round. Cuevas beat him in 3 sets after losing set 1.

We have a good chance of 3 sets today. Lay Tsitsipas around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Back Tsitsipas if he loses set 1.

 

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