ATP Finals – Wed

14:15 – Djokovic v Soderling

 

Rankings are 3 and 9. Head to heads are 5-0 to Djokovic.

 

Even though Nadal is not at his best it still takes an inform player to beat him in straight sets. Soderling loves playing indoors as normally the surface is totally flat, the bounce is consistent and there is no wind. Listening to the commenatators last night during the Murray/Fed match it seems that the players don’t like the O2 surface as they are getting some inconsistent bounces.

 

Djokovic came through a great match with Davydenko and will be keen to get another victory to secure a place in the semi fnal. He is playing some great tennis and must be favourite today.

 

The Betfair market agrees with that but I think his price of 1.39 is too short. Soderling will make him fight all the way. If he comes out swinging and is striking the ball well then Djokovic could be troubled in the first set.

 

Hard to see anything but a Djokovic win today though. Scalping has been working well for me. Wait for good opportunities to enter the market. Because of the slightly slower surface the 15-40 has actually been working quite well. This could be down to the fact that we have the best receivers in the game in the tournament this week.

 

Update: I didn’t see Djokovic losing this although expected Soderling to give him some trouble early in the match.

Soderling won 7-6, 6-1

 

I had a small trade at work. All that did was to remind me how difficult it is to trade without software! £30 profit by backing Soderling towards the end of the tie break and greening up after he broke in the second set.

 

 

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20:45 – Nadal v Davydenko

 

Rankings are 2 and 7. Head to heads are 4-3 to Nadal. Their last 6 matches have seen them win alternate matches. Its Nadal’s turn if that run is to continue.

 

Davydenko played some brilliant tennis against the defending champion, Djokovic. With Nadal below his best he must fancy his chances tonight.

 

Nadal will put in 100% as always but admitted after his defeat to Soderling that he is lacking in confidence. He is intensely proud and will not want to lose all 3 of his round robin matches. He has Djokovic next.

 

I haven’t seen Nadal play this week but I watched Davydenko and he was brilliant in patches. I can see this being quite a tight match and possibly another 3 setter.

 

If I had to pick a winner it would be Davydenko. As with the other matches, scalping is how I will trade it.

 

Update: I got home late. When I got in Davydenko had won the first set 6-1 and was a break up in the second. I thought it was all over so I didnt open the trading software. I don’t like to enter a match part way through as it can be harder to read the game.

Davydenko won 6-1, 7-6.

    Trading Guide