Djokovic has won all 5 of their previous meeting. Their last match was in the semi final in Rome last month. Thiem managed just 1 game in that match. Thiem has taken just 1 set in their 5 matches which was indoors at the year end finals in London last November.
Djokovic had a 5 setter in the 3rd round with Schwartzman. He doesn’t often get through a slam without a 5 set match.
Thiem has not lost a set so far. He hasn’t really been troubled.
Given their history this could be a decent price on Djokovic but I am hoping Thiem can make a match of this. Lay Djokovic if he breaks first. I expect Thiem to take at least a set