Djokovic leads their previous matches 15-7. Their last one was in October last year. Djokovic won in straight sets on a hard court.
Both players had a shaky opening set to the tournament. Also, both have improved as the tournament went on. Djokovic is one of the best big game players ever to hold a tennis racquet. Time and time again he can be below his best in the early rounds but finds his top gear for the semis and final.
Tsonga’s only previous quarter final in Indian Wells resulted in a loss to Djokovic in 2013.
With Djokovic starting at 1.15 the value is on Tsonga. Ideally he takes the opening set so we can back Djokovic higher.