Ferrer leads their previous matches 8-1. Garcia Lopez won his match in in 2005. Their last meeting was in October last year. That was on an indoor hard court in 2015 and Ferrer won in straight sets.
Ferrer has not been at his best this year. He has not played since Miami in March. He has a good record in Madrid with either quarter final or semi final finishes in his last 6 visits.
Garcia Lopez has been doing ok but is not playing quite as well as he did last year. I think Ferrer will make a slow start until he gets back into the swing of things.
Back Ferrer if Garcia Lopez breaks and also holds serve.