Monfils has won all 3 of their previous meetings.Their last one was in March this season and he won in straight sets on a hard court. They played at the French Open last year and he won in 5 sets.
Cuevas played well over all to beat Kohlschreiber yesterday though had to work very hard for his service holds. I would expect Monfils to put him under at least the same amount of pressure on his serve.
Monfils had a tough opening set with Kevin Anderson in the last round. He won it with a late break and then ran away with the second set.
The sets should be close. Value is on Cuevas at the start. Monfils probably sneaks the win if he is close to his best.