Tsonga leads their previous matches 7-4. Their last match was in September 2015. That was in the final in Metz, France on an indoor court. Tsonga won in 3 sets. He leads 4-1 on indoor courts.
Tsonga won the title in Rotterdam last week on indoor courts. He has only played 1
match this week so fatigue won’t be an issue. He faced 6 break points in his straight sets win over Marchenko in the last round. He saved them all.
Simon has been taken to 3 sets in both his matches. I would not say he has played and served badly but he has not been as tight as he will need to be against Tsonga.
I have to favour Tsonga but wait for him to face break point on his serve before backing him. Tsonga starts the match around 1.40.