Tsonga won their only previous match. That was at the US Open in 2014. He won that in straight sets.
Tsonga has a good recent record in Monte Carlo. He reached the third round last year, the quarter final in 2014 and semi final in 2013. He has played just 4 matches on clay this year and lost 3 of them, all as favourite.
Carreno Busta reached the quarter finals last week losing to eventual champion Delbonis in straight sets. His best effort in Monte Carlo was a third round in 2014 as a qualifier where he lost to Djokovic.
This could be a close one if Tsonga starts slowly.
Back Tsonga if he is broken first. He starts around 1.38 .