Nadal leads their previous meetings 11-2. He is 4-0 on clay.
Nadal lost his first set this week in the semi final with Murray. He has looked good in all his matches this week though had a huge number of break points against him in his opening set with Thiem.
Monfils has had the easier draw though I expected Tsonga to give him more problems than he did. Tsonga was really poor in their semi final.
If Monfils can have a huge day on serve and finds the lines with his ground strokes he could take this to 3 sets.
Back Nadal if he goes a break behind