Nadal leads their head to heads 16-8. They played 3 times last season. Nadal won at the year end finals but Murray won the other 2 including on clay in the Madrid final.
I expected more from Stan yesterday but Nadal played well and didn’t let him back into the match. He served at a fairly high level and his ground strokes were very solid.
Murray kept the pressure on Raonic who was reportedly suffering with his abductor injury and his movement was poor. Murray has looked decidedly shaky in previous rounds but yesterday he looked more like a man ranked second in the world despite a below par opponent.
Nadal has to fancy his chances of taking the title and is playing well enough to do just that. Both players have had their problems this week but I have to favour Nadal. I think Murray will make the better start and we will get a better price.
Back Nadal if he is broken first.