Cilic should be stronger on clay but we need a better price
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Raonic 2.88, Cilic 1.52
Cilic leads their previous matches 2-1. They last met in May last year in the final of the clay tournament in Istanbul. Cilic won in 2 sets. That was their only clay match.
Cilic has stronger overall results in the last 12 months. He won 72% of his matches compared to 65% for Raonic. Their clay results in the last 12 months are quite even but slightly favour Cilic.
Raonic has faced just 1 break point in each of his matches. He played better in the last round against Cecchinato after a poor start to his first match where he lost the opening set and looked to be struggling.
Cilic beat Verdasco in straight sets in the last round. He was broken twice. His first serve was excellent though at just 33% of points won his second serve looked vulnerable.
The sets are likely to be tight so we have some value on Raonic. He may take a tie break set. Cilic is the better returner and I expect him to take this. Back Cilic above 1.85 or if he loses set 1.